The weather depends on lots of different factors: wind speed, cloudiness, pressure, etc. All of them can be represented in meters per second, millimeters of mercury, etc.

A mathematical weather model is a combination of all these factors. Our app features wind forecasts from different weather models.

ECMWF – Global
A global model by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Considered the best for precipitation and cloudiness. Resolution - 14 km. Updates every 12 hours, providing forecasts for 10 days.

GFS27 – Global
The US Global Forecast System, originally created for aviation. Updated 4 times a day, providing forecasts for 10 days.


ICON7, ICON13 - Global
A global model by Deutscher Wetterdienst (German Meteorological Service).
For Europe, higher resolution (7 km) is available for the ICON model, making it even more precise than the ECMWF. The ICON with a 13 km resolution is the global version available worldwide.
- ICON7 - updates 4 times a day, every 6 hours. Provides forecasts for the next 5 days.
- ICON13 - updates 8 times a day, every 3 hours. Provides forecasts for the next 5 days.

NAM - North America
Developed specifically for North America, provides the most precise forecast for the region. Resolution - 12 km. The forecast is updated 2 times a day. Provides forecasts for the next 61 days.

WRF8 - Europe
The WRF is a model for weather forecast calculation developed by several scientific laboratories in different countries.
Using it, Windhub calculates a hyperlocal forecast for Europe and the Mediterranean. Updates once a day, giving forecasts for the next 3 days.

OpenSkiron (OS) - Mediterranean
A local model developed at the University of Athens. Considered one of the best for the Mediterranean. Resolution - 12 km. Updated once a day, providing forecasts for the next 5 days.

OpenWRF - Mediterranean
A local model for the Mediterranean. Based on the WRF technology, adapted by the University of Athens and a group of enthusiasts. Resolution - 12 km. Updated 4 times a day, giving forecasts for the next 4 days.

AROME - France and the surrounding territories

A local model developed by Meteo France (French meteorological service). Covers France and some adjacent regions. Resolution - 1.25 km. It is updated 8 times a day and provides forecasts for the next 42 hours.
Atmospheric fronts often give the clearest signal about the looming danger.

What is an "atmospheric front"? Basically, it's a place where warm and cold air masses collide, with a boundary that's sloping against the surface of the Earth. There are four types of fronts: warm fronts, cold fronts, occluded fronts, stationary fronts. Now there's a fair question: how can the front be warm or cold, if both have masses of air of different temperatures?

The answer is quite simple. Since the front is always in motion, the front that moves towards a zone with cold air and brings warmth is considered warm, and vice versa. An occluded front is formed at the junction of a cold and a warm front when the warm mass of air no longer touches the ground. A stationary front is essentially a slowing down warm or cold front where the air masses have practically stopped moving.

What can a yachtsman expect from such global weather events? First of all, weather changes. But how dangerous can it be?

Let's start with the warm front. The main trouble - sustained rainfall. The first signs of its approach are cirrus and cirrostratus clouds. Of course, the wind increases, but usually not too much. Wind direction suddenly changes. Pressure gradually drops and reaches the lowest point behind the front. So it's only worth going back if you forgot foul weather gear.

A cold front is much more dangerous. You can tell by looking at it: a solid wall of dark thunderclouds. Pressure can drop sharply before its approach. 'Barometer falling' portends way more trouble than just the need to fix the device.

Cold fronts are divided into two kinds. The first one is not so dangerous. It moves slowly and warm air gradually moves upwards all over its surface. The second one moves quickly, often with a noticeable acceleration. The warm air in it first moves down to a height of one and a half to two kilometers, and then rises sharply.

As the front approaches, the wind intensifies noticeably, as with any thunderstorm, there are sharp increases. However, the situation behind the front is even more serious. Wind speed at gusts can easily be dangerous. A sharp change in wind direction follows.

To go in such a storm, even on a well prepared boat, is not the best decision. A good example is the infamous 1979 Fastnet Race, when only 85 out of 306 yachts reached the finish line. 5 yachts sank and 19, in disrepair, were abandoned by crews.

Subsequent analysis of the tragedy showed that one of the reasons was a sharp change in front trajectories which was simply impossible to predict at the time. Even today, a long term forecast is often impossible. But within two or three days it is extremely accurate. Therefore, before going out to sea it is necessary to get acquainted with the meteorological situation both on the route and in its surroundings. If there is satellite internet on board, it is worth doing it twice a day.

In addition, the CAPE index, which stands for Convective Available Potential Energy, can help. The higher it is, the more likely weather disasters are. If the values are negative - it's calm. From 0 to 1000 - there is a probability of small thunderstorms. From 1000 to 2500 - strong thunderstorms with precipitation can be expected. From 2500 to 3500 - a squally wind, powerful thunderstorms with hail. After 3500 one can start preparing for a natural apocalypse.

Thunderstorms at sea are extremely dangerous! Unfortunately, there's still no way to fully protect a boat from lightning. It is possible to lay a special cable on the mast, directly in contact with water at the keel. But firstly, it is necessary to do it in advance ashore, and secondly, its efficiency is unpredictable. But what can be done on almost any boat - putting all electronic devices that can be dismantled into a shielded metal container. Or simply in a pot tightly covered with a metal lid. Then they will not only survive close strokes of lightning in water, but even a direct hit in the mast. Such a situation is very unlikely, but one should be prepared for a fight. Though try avoiding it as long as you can.

Now there's the occluded front, which is also divided into warm and cold - cooled air replaces cold air and the other way around. Each of them has the features of the original front - warm or cold - with all their characteristics. So the cold one can definitely cause you problems. Though not as significant as the "original" cold front.

The stationary front is the calmest. The masses of warm and cold air are kind of resting after a riot. Since the front is a product of slowing down of a warm or cold front, the weather in it will correspond to that which its ancestor brought. However, in any case, there should be no more strong winds.
What is an isobar?

Atmospheric pressure is the pressure of air on the Earth's surface.

It's lower in areas with warmer air and vice versa. Air masses always tend to move to lower pressure areas.

Points with the same atmospheric pressure on the map are connected with lines – isobars. Air tends to move to a lower pressure area using the shortest way - at a right angle to the isobar. The perpendicular is called a normal line.

Wind and isobars

Pressure difference is the only thing speeding wind up. The quicker pressure changes from spot to spot, the higher wind speed is. All the other forces, such as friction, only reduce wind speed and/or change its direction.

Wind would be perpendicular to the isobar if the Earth wasn't spherical and rotating around its axis. But instead all moving objects, including wind, are subject to the influence of the so called Coriolis force.

It deflects wind from the normal line to a certain angle. In the Northern Hemisphere air is rotated clockwise (to the right) and in the Southern - counterclockwise (to the left) with reference to the movement direction.

The friction between air and sea is lower, that's why it's deflected more there. The angle is usually 40-50° above land and can reach 70-80° above sea - then the wind blows practically along the isobar.

If isobars are close to each other

The higher pressure difference between two areas is, the higher wind speed is. That's why isobars that are close to one another mean high wind speed.

Cyclones and anticyclones (H and L)

L on the isobar map is a cyclone with a low pressure area in the circle. A cyclone means cloudy and rainy weather.

H is an anticyclone with a high pressure area in the circle. Anticyclone means calm and sunny weather.

In the Northern Hemisphere:
• Wind moving counterclockwise around a low pressure area (L)
• Wind moving clockwise around a high pressure area (H)
What is atmospheric pressure in simple words?

Basically, it's the weight of air – more precisely, its pressure on the Earth.

The higher you are, the less air there is above you. That's why the pressure is lower at higher levels.

The pressure on the Earth's surface changes because of mixed temperatures. The lighter the air, the lower the pressure is. Warm air is lighter. That's why the pressure of warm air is lower.

Atmospheric pressure and wind

Air masses always tend to move to lower pressure areas. We call it wind.

Pressure difference is the only thing making the air move faster. The faster the pressure changes place to place, the higher wind speed is. All the other forces – like friction – only lower it or change the direction.

Sudden pressure changes spell stronger winds.

Some tips from Met Office:

• A pressure change of 8 hPa over 3 hours leads to an increase in wind speed up to 8 points on the Beaufort scale (wind speed up to 20.7 m/s, moderately high long waves).

• A pressure change of 5 hPa over 3 hours means an increase in wind speed up to 6 points (wind speed up to 13.8 m/s, large waves begin to form).

Atmospheric pressure in Windhub

We will start showing 3 hours pressure changes at each point soon. You can check the pressure in Hectopascals (hPa), as well as in Millimeters of mercury ( mmHg) and Inches of mercury (inHg).